[Python-Dev] Re: Re: 2.4 news reaches interesting places
sdeibel at wingware.com
Mon Dec 13 19:11:38 CET 2004
On Mon, 13 Dec 2004, Jeremy Hylton wrote:
> > http://www.infoworld.com/article/04/09/24/39FErrdev_1.html?s=feature
> Can we extrapolate from the numbers here to get an estimate of how
> many Python developers there are? I was asked for that number at
> workshop a few months ago and I didn't have any idea how to answer.
> Is there a good answer?
> Two possibilities come to mind. 1) 14% of developers in the survey
> work at companies that use Python. How many developers are there?
> Assume that 14% of them use Python. But what's a good estimate for
> "number of developers." Pretty rough -- number of survey respondents
> at company != number of Python programmers at company, and %age
> companies != %age of programmers.
Supposedly there are 5-6 million developers world-wide (by various
estimates; I've no idea whether to believe them). If you just multiply
out naively you get 700K-840K Python programmers. There certainly are
vastly more one person Python projects than large ones, so this may not be
all that far off.
> 2) 64% of companies use Java, 4.5
> times more than Python. Find out how many Java programmers there are,
> divide by 4.5.
I've seen claims of 3-4 million java programmers so that's 666K-888K
Python programmers. Interestingly, this matches up with the above abuse
Independently by various other techniques of wildly guesstimating over the
years, I've come to a current figure of about 350K serious Python projects
world-wide. Many are single-person projects so this does mesh w/in an
order of magnitude with the above.
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