Ham or Spam? (was RE: [Spambayes] RE: Central Limit Theorem??!! :))

Tim Peters tim@zope.com
Fri, 27 Sep 2002 10:52:47 -0400


This is a multi-part message in MIME format.

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[Tim]
> ...
> That brings us to the mistakes, and this seems a *typical* mistake
> when a false negative pops up (there are plenty of words here; that's
> not the problem):
>
>  zham            zspam
>  -17.8741370033  -20.4279646914
>
> The best guess it can make is that it's closer to ham, but let's get
> real about this <wink>:  these are honest-to-God probabilities (well,
> directly related to honest-to-God probabilities), and at 18 sdevs away
> from the ham mean, the system is screaming there's not a chance in
> hell the msg fits what it knows about ham.  It's *also* screaming
> there's not a chance in hell the msg fits what it knows about spam.

Attached is the msg that produced those scores.  To my eyes, it doesn't look
anything like c.l.py traffic (my ham) *or* like spam -- it looks like a
fishing newletter someone signed up for.  My best guess is that it's really
ham, mistakenly filed as spam in bruceg's collection.  Whaddya think?

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Return-Path: <warden@hotspotsporting.com>=0A=
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From: "Game Warden" <warden@hotspotsporting.com>=0A=
To: <bluegoose.kennels@bfsmedia.com>=0A=
Subject: Hot Spot Fishing News=0A=
Date: Tue, 28 May 2002 22:16:39 -0500=0A=
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=0A=
Minnesota Fishing=0A=
Pehrson Lodge=0A=
www.pehrsonlodge.com <http://www.pehrsonlodge.com>  =0A=
Hot Spot Fishing Newsletter=0A=
May, 2002=0A=
www.HotSpotFishing.com <http://www.hotspotfishing.com/> =0A=
Newfoundland Fishing=0A=
Gander River Outfitters=0A=
www.ganderriver.com <http://www.ganderriver.com>  =0A=
=0A=
=0A=
* Lunker Tournament Winner! =0A=
Hot Spot Fishing member NMIU from Michigan won our recent online Lunker=0A=
Tournament sponsored by Time Off Outdoors - an online fly shop=0A=
<http://www.timeoffoutdoors.com> . He won a wonderful boxed set of 26=0A=
flies. Mike Chadwell of Time Off Outdoors is offering a 10% discount to=0A=
Hot Spot members on any order you make before June 15th. I've seen their=0A=
flies and they look great. =0A=
 =0A=
We're just about finished with a 'short' Lunker Tournament that will end=0A=
on May 31st. It is sponsored by Pehrson Lodge=0A=
<http://www.pehrsonlodge.com>  in Cook, Minnesota. =0A=
 =0A=
To win, 'catch' the trophy fish (a crappie) that appears on pages of Hot=0A=
Spot Fishing. Click the correct fish to tally another entry in the=0A=
tournament. A random winner is selected, but more entries means more=0A=
chances to win. Just a couple days left to enter. =0A=
* Fishing Quiz =0A=
Only a couple days left before we pick a winner in this month's Fishing=0A=
Quiz. Give it a shot and maybe win a fishing lure. Here's a hint: A=0A=
walleye/sauger hybrid is NOT called BOB. =0A=
* Did You Know? =0A=
The Minnesota record Walleye is 17 lb. 8 oz. and was caught in the=0A=
Seagull River near Cook, Minnesota on May 13, 1979. But, Arkansas,=0A=
Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee all have state records over 20 pounds!=0A=
Check out Other Walleye Records=0A=
<http://www.hotspotfishing.com/records/fish-records-walleye.asp> . If=0A=
you'd like to show off fish records on your own web site, read the Free=0A=
Web Data <http://www.hotspotsporting.com/webdata.htm>  page. =0A=
* Catch Anything? =0A=
Now that our fishing reports are ready for you to log your trips, we're=0A=
all anxious to hear what you caught. Take some pictures and keep track=0A=
of how successful you were depending on the weather, time, and tackle.=0A=
Next year, you'll be glad you did when you try to remember what worked. =0A=
 =0A=
Plus, your photos are displayed in the Trophy Gallery and on your Hot=0A=
Spot web page. Not only that, the fishing reports you enter can also be=0A=
displayed on your personal or company web site - wherever it is.  Read=0A=
the Free Web Data <http://www.hotspotsporting.com/webdata.htm>  page. =0A=
* Fishing Articles and Stories =0A=
The Hot Spot Library is open! It's a GREAT way for you to share your=0A=
fishing experience with other Hot Spot members. Log on and click the [MY=0A=
CONTENT] link to get started. Easily create your own Biography and add=0A=
any stories or articles you have to share. We can help you - just ask! =0A=
 =0A=
Hot Spot member Jason Akl recently submitted an article on Building an=0A=
Epoxy Drier for Flies=0A=
<http://www.hotspotfishing.com/public/articles/fish-99.asp>  which is an=0A=
awesome 'How To' article. Tom Lester of Fishing Pro Staff submitted Fall=0A=
Feeding Opportunities=0A=
<http://www.hotspotfishing.com/public/articles/fish-85.asp>  among his=0A=
collection of articles to share. =0A=
 =0A=
Guess what - fishing articles can also be displayed on your personal or=0A=
company web site. =0A=
* Caddis Fly Swap =0A=
We are finishing our Caddis Pattern Fly Swap this week. We have 19 tiers=0A=
for this swap and the flies are looking great!   The photos of these=0A=
flies and their tying instructions are online in the Fly Gallery so you=0A=
can try them yourself. =0A=
 =0A=
You can sign up to receive announcements of new Swaps as they are=0A=
created and we'd love to hear your request for a fly swap theme. =0A=
* Links Please =0A=
A link from your web site to Hot Spot Fishing would greatly help us=0A=
grow. Click Here <http://www.hotspotsporting.com/linktous.htm>  for more=0A=
info. =0A=
 =0A=
Links give people another path to us and helps our ranking on many=0A=
search engines so new anglers can find us. Every Hot Spot member that=0A=
has their own web site already has at least one link from us to you so a=0A=
reciprocal link from you to us would sure be nice. =0A=
 =0A=
To give you yet another link and way for people to find you, we've=0A=
started a new program.   Link Theme Lists are an easy, valuable way for=0A=
you to make your site easier to find and boost your search engine=0A=
rankings. We've just started a Top Fishing Hot Spots list to provide you=0A=
with a fishing-only place to list your site. Check it out at=0A=
www.HotSpotFishing.com/rank/=0A=
<http://www.hotspotfishing.com/rank/default.asp>  =0A=
 =0A=
We published the list to major search engines on Memorial Day and we'll=0A=
do it again on the 4th of July so make sure you are listed before then.=0A=
Any fishing related sites are eligible and the small button you put on=0A=
your web page shows your current rank on the list. =0A=
* Free Content for Your Site =0A=
As I mentioned, you can use Hot Spot Fishing data on your own web site.=0A=
Here's a couple sites that are taking advantage of the free content to=0A=
make their sites more valuable: =0A=
*	Troutlet.com <http://www.troutlet.com/staterecords.htm>  - click=0A=
a state for state records=0A=
*	Fishing with Fitzy <http://www.ausfish.com.au/fitzy/Weather.htm>=0A=
=0A=
It's simple to soup up your site as well. But, of course, if you have=0A=
any trouble or questions, we're happy to help. =0A=
Thanks again for joining the 'Hottest' online fishing community!   Tell=0A=
a Friend and take a kid fishing! =0A=
See you online! Warden@HotSpotSporting.com=0A=
<mailto:warden@hotspotsporting.com>  =0A=
=0A=
=0A=
To receive no more Fishing email from Hot Spot Sporting, log on to your=0A=
favorite Hot Spot community and set your preferences in your Profile=0A=
page. Or, go to: Click Here=0A=
<http://www.hotspotsporting.com/registration/nomail.asp?id=3DVEND-08826> =
 =0A=
Your Hot Spot username is: VEND-08826=0A=
Go to http://www.hotspotsporting.com/securedir/lostpass.asp  to retrieve=0A=
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  <TR>=0A=
    <TD align=3D3Dcenter >=0A=
<FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" color=3D3D#004669>Minnesota =3D=0A=
Fishing<BR>=0A=
<A target=3D3D_blank href=3D3D"http://www.pehrsonlodge.com"><FONT =3D=0A=
face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" color=3D3D#004669>Pehrson =3D=0A=
Lodge<BR>www.pehrsonlodge.com</FONT></A></font>=0A=
    </TD>=0A=
    <TD align=3D3Dcenter class=3D3DHE >=0A=
    <P class=3D3DHE >=0A=
    Hot Spot Fishing Newsletter<BR>May, 2002<BR>=0A=
     <A class=3D3DHE =3D=0A=
href=3D3D"http://www.hotspotfishing.com/">www.HotSpotFishing.com</A></P>=0A=
    </TD>=0A=
    <TD align=3D3Dcenter >=0A=
<FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" color=3D3D#004669>Newfoundland =
=3D=0A=
Fishing<BR>=0A=
<A target=3D3D_blank href=3D3D"http://www.ganderriver.com"><FONT =3D=0A=
face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" color=3D3D#004669>Gander River =3D=0A=
Outfitters<BR>www.ganderriver.com</FONT></A></font>=0A=
    </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>=0A=
      <BR>=0A=
<CENTER>=0A=
<TABLE cellPadding=3D3D12 width=3D3D"500" bgColor=3D3D#ffffff =
border=3D3D0>=0A=
  <TBODY>=0A=
  <TR>=0A=
    <TD vAlign=3D3Dtop>=0A=
      <P align=3D3Djustify>=0A=
<SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Lunker Tournament Winner! </SPAN>=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" size=3D3D2 >=0A=
Hot Spot Fishing member <B>NMIU</B> from Michigan won our recent online =3D=0A=
Lunker Tournament sponsored=0A=
by <A HREF=3D3D"http://www.timeoffoutdoors.com" target=3D3D"_other">Time =
Off =3D=0A=
Outdoors - an online fly shop</A>.  He won a wonderful boxed set of 26=0A=
flies.  Mike Chadwell of Time Off Outdoors is offering a <B>10% =3D=0A=
discount</B> to Hot Spot members on any order you make before June 15th. =
=3D=0A=
 I've seen their flies=0A=
and they look great.=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
We're just about finished with a 'short' Lunker Tournament that will end =
=3D=0A=
on May 31st.  It is sponsored by <A =
HREF=3D3D"http://www.pehrsonlodge.com" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Pehrson Lodge</A> in Cook, Minnesota. =3D20=0A=
 <BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
 To win, 'catch' the trophy fish (a crappie) that appears on pages of =3D=0A=
Hot Spot Fishing.  Click the correct fish to=3D20=0A=
 tally another entry in the tournament.  A random winner is selected, =3D=0A=
but more entries means more chances to win.  Just a couple days left to =3D=0A=
enter.=0A=
</FONT></P>=0A=
=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify><SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Fishing Quiz</SPAN> =3D20=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica"  size=3D3D2>=0A=
Only a couple days left before we pick a winner in this month's Fishing =3D=0A=
Quiz.  Give it a shot and maybe win a fishing lure.  Here's a hint:  A =3D=0A=
walleye/sauger hybrid is NOT called BOB.=0A=
</FONT></P>=0A=
               =3D20=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify><SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Did You Know?</SPAN> =3D20=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica"  size=3D3D2>=0A=
The Minnesota record Walleye is 17 lb. 8 oz. and was caught in the =3D=0A=
Seagull River near Cook, Minnesota on May 13, 1979.  But, Arkansas, =3D=0A=
Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee all have state records over 20 pounds! =
=3D=0A=
Check out=3D20=0A=
<A =3D=0A=
HREF=3D3D"http://www.hotspotfishing.com/records/fish-records-walleye.asp"=
 =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Other Walleye Records</A>.  If you'd like to show =
off =3D=0A=
fish records on=0A=
your own web site, read the <a =3D=0A=
href=3D3D"http://www.hotspotsporting.com/webdata.htm" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Free Web Data</a> page.=0A=
</FONT></P>=0A=
               =3D20=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify><SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Catch Anything?</SPAN> =3D20=0A=
<BR><FONT size=3D3D2 face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica">=0A=
Now that our fishing reports are ready for you to log your trips, we're =3D=0A=
all anxious to hear what you caught.  Take some pictures and keep track =3D=0A=
of how successful you were depending on the weather, time, and tackle.  =3D=0A=
Next year, you'll be glad you did when you try to remember what worked.  =
=3D=0A=
=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>Plus, your photos are displayed in the Trophy Gallery and =3D=0A=
on your Hot Spot web page.  Not only that, the fishing reports you enter =
=3D=0A=
can also be displayed on your personal or company web site=3D20=0A=
      - wherever it is.&nbsp; Read the=0A=
      <a href=3D3D"http://www.hotspotsporting.com/webdata.htm" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Free Web Data</a> page.=0A=
</FONT></P>=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify><SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Fishing Articles and =3D=0A=
Stories</SPAN> =3D20=0A=
<BR><FONT size=3D3D2 face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica">=0A=
The Hot Spot Library is open! It's a GREAT way for you to share your =3D=0A=
fishing experience with other Hot Spot members. Log on and click the [MY =
=3D=0A=
CONTENT] link to get started. Easily create your own Biography and add =3D=0A=
any stories or articles you have to share. We can help you - just =
ask!=3D20=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
Hot Spot member Jason Akl recently submitted an article on <a =3D=0A=
href=3D3D"http://www.hotspotfishing.com/public/articles/fish-99.asp" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Building an Epoxy Drier for Flies</A> which is an =3D=0A=
awesome 'How To' article.  Tom Lester of Fishing Pro Staff submitted <a =3D=0A=
href=3D3D"http://www.hotspotfishing.com/public/articles/fish-85.asp" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Fall Feeding Opportunities</A> among his collection =
of =3D=0A=
articles to share.=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
Guess what - fishing articles can also be displayed on your personal or =3D=0A=
company web site.=0A=
</FONT></P>=0A=
=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify> <SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Caddis Fly Swap</SPAN>=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" size=3D3D2>We are =
finishing =3D=0A=
our Caddis Pattern Fly Swap this week.=0A=
We have 19 tiers for this swap and the flies are looking great!  &nbsp; =3D=0A=
The photos of these flies and their tying instructions are online in the =
=3D=0A=
=0A=
Fly Gallery so you can try them yourself.=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
You can sign up to receive announcements of new Swaps as they are =3D=0A=
created and we'd love to hear your request for a fly swap theme. =3D20=0A=
</FONT>=0A=
 </P>=0A=
=3D20=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify><SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Links Please</SPAN>=3D20=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" size=3D3D2>A link from =
your =3D=0A=
web site to Hot Spot Fishing would greatly help us grow. =3D20=0A=
<A HREF=3D3D"http://www.hotspotsporting.com/linktous.htm" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Click Here</A> for more info.=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
Links give people another path to us and helps our ranking on many =3D=0A=
search engines so new anglers can find us. =3D20=0A=
Every Hot Spot member that has their own web site already has at least =3D=0A=
one link from us to you so a reciprocal link from you to us would sure =3D=0A=
be nice.=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
To give you yet another link and way for people to find you, we've =3D=0A=
started a new program. &nbsp;=0A=
<B>Link Theme Lists</B> are an easy, valuable way for you to make your =3D=0A=
site easier to find and boost your search engine rankings.  We've just =3D=0A=
started=0A=
a Top Fishing Hot Spots list to provide you with a fishing-only place to =
=3D=0A=
list your site.  Check it out at=0A=
<A HREf=3D3D"http://www.hotspotfishing.com/rank/default.asp" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">www.HotSpotFishing.com/rank/</A>=0A=
<BR>&nbsp;<BR>=0A=
We published the list to major search engines on Memorial Day and we'll =3D=0A=
do it again on the 4th of July so make sure you are listed before then.  =
=3D=0A=
Any fishing related sites are eligible and the=3D20=0A=
small button you put on your web page shows your current rank on the =3D=0A=
list.=0A=
</FONT>   =3D20=0A=
</P>=0A=
      =3D20=0A=
=3D20=0A=
=0A=
<P align=3D3Djustify> <SPAN class=3D3DHE1 >* Free Content for Your =3D=0A=
Site</SPAN>=0A=
<BR><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, helvetica" size=3D3D2>As I mentioned, =
you =3D=0A=
can use Hot Spot Fishing data on your own web site.  Here's a couple =3D=0A=
sites=0A=
that are taking advantage of the free content to make their sites more =3D=0A=
valuable:=0A=
<ul>=0A=
<li><a href=3D3D"http://www.troutlet.com/staterecords.htm" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Troutlet.com</a> - click a state for state =3D=0A=
records</li>=0A=
<li><a href=3D3D"http://www.ausfish.com.au/fitzy/Weather.htm" =3D=0A=
target=3D3D"_other">Fishing with Fitzy</A></li>=0A=
</ul>=0A=
It's simple to soup up your site as well.  But, of course, if you have =3D=0A=
any trouble or questions, we're happy to help.=3D20=0A=
</FONT>=0A=
 </P>=0A=
=3D20=0A=
                  =3D20=0A=
<P><FONT size=3D3D2>Thanks again for joining the 'Hottest' online  =
fishing =3D=0A=
community! &nbsp; Tell a Friend and take a kid fishing! </FONT>          =
=3D=0A=
=0A=
 =3D20=0A=
              =3D20=0A=
<P><FONT size=3D3D2>See you online! </FONT>=0A=
<A href=3D3D"mailto:warden@hotspotsporting.com"><FONT =3D=0A=
size=3D3D2>Warden@HotSpotSporting.com</FONT></A>=0A=
     =3D20=0A=
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><BR>=0A=
=0A=
<table width=3D3D500><tbody><tr><td><P><FONT face=3D3D"tahoma, arial, =3D=0A=
helvetica" size=3D3D-1>To receive no more Fishing email from Hot Spot =3D=0A=
Sporting, log on to your favorite Hot Spot community  and set your =3D=0A=
preferences in your Profile page.  Or, go to:  <A =3D=0A=
HREF=3D3D"http://www.hotspotsporting.com/registration/nomail.asp?id=3D3DV=
END-=3D=0A=
08826" target=3D3D_blank>Click Here</A>=0A=
</P><P>Your Hot Spot username is: VEND-08826<BR>Go to <A =3D=0A=
HREF=3D3D"http://www.hotspotsporting.com/securedir/lostpass.asp">http://w=
ww=3D=0A=
.hotspotsporting.com/securedir/lostpass.asp</A>  to retrieve your =3D=0A=
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